Level 1
Beyond Reasoning: Does AI Need to Comprehend?
Science
AI systems today show remarkable reasoning ability—processing information, identifying patterns, and generating solutions—but reasoning alone may not be enough. The term "comprehension" appears th...
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Level 1
Fear of the Machine: Hype, Science, and the Psychology of Superintelligence
Science
What does science actually tell us about the danger of superintelligence? Public debate about AGI is increasingly dominated by existential warnings—claims that machine intelligence could outgrow hum...
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Level 1
Labor Markets Today: Structure, Incentives, and Fragility
Economics
Before we can assess AGI's impact on labor markets, we must understand their current structure: how work creates value, how wages are determined, how incentives shape behavior, where fragility exists....
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Level 1
Mountcastle's Hypothesis: One Algorithm or Many?
Artificial Intelligence
Vernon Mountcastle's 1978 hypothesis—that one repeated cortical algorithm, scaled across the neocortex, produces all intelligence—has shaped AI development for decades. Jeff Hawkins built Numenta ...
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Level 1
The Determinants of Prosperity in an AGI Era
Economics
What creates prosperity? Current economics identifies factors: capital accumulation, technological progress, institutional quality, human capital, resource allocation efficiency. But if AGI transforms...
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Level 1
What Does 70 Years of AI Research Tell Us About Reaching AGI?
Artificial Intelligence
Seven decades of AI research have produced both spectacular successes and repeated failures. Some approaches once considered promising have stalled. Others dismissed as impractical have yielded breakt...
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Level 1
What Is Intelligence?
Science
Before we can assess whether we're ready for AGI, we must establish what intelligence actually is. Some scientist argue that intelligence is fundamental to the fabric of spacetime. Cognitive scientist...
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Level 1
What Legal Frameworks Exist to Protect AGI Researchers?
National Security
AGI researchers may face unprecedented government pressure: demands to halt development, compulsory technology transfer, restrictions without due process. What legal protections actually exist? Can de...
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Level 1
What Underlying Economic Parameters Will AGI Transform?
Economics
Economics rests on fundamental parameters: labor creates value, capital is scarce, information is asymmetric, property rights are enforceable, human cognition is limited. Each shapes markets, pricing,...
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Level 1
World or Words: What Leads to Machine Comprehension?
Artificial Intelligence
Can machines achieve genuine comprehension through language alone, or does understanding require grounding in physical experience? Large language models demonstrate sophisticated linguistic behavior t...
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Level 2
AGI: The Geopolitical Conundrum
National Security
Artificial Intelligence
Vladimir Putin once declared, "Whoever leads in AI will rule the world." But the logic of state control that defined the nuclear age no longer applies. Nuclear weapons require uranium enrichment facil...
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Level 2
Ambient Intelligence vs. Centralized Oracle
Engineering
Economics
Governance
Should AGI be distributed throughout society or concentrated in centralized systems? This is not just a technical architecture question—it's economic, political, and fundamentally sociological. Ambi...
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Level 2
Controlled Butterfly Effect: Statecraft vs. Human Flourishing
Sociology
Governance
Artificial Intelligence
Advanced AI could track causal chains at massive scale, model complex systems with high fidelity, and identify minimal interventions that cascade into intended outcomes—a Controlled Butterfly Effect...
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Level 2
Democratic Governance with Augmented Decision-Making
Governance
Artificial Intelligence
AGI could augment human decision-making in governance—processing vast data, modeling policy outcomes, identifying trade-offs invisible to human cognition. But integrating intelligent systems into de...
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Level 2
From Ambient Intelligence to Societal Cognition: How Pervasive Intelligence Reshapes Human Systems
Engineering
Economics
Governance
Sociology
Two decades before AGI became a global concern, Ambient Intelligence imagined computation woven seamlessly into daily life—environments that perceive, anticipate, and adapt to human needs. That earl...
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Level 2
From Centralized Intelligence to Institutional Control: AGI Under Authority
Engineering
Governance
Economics
As AGI advances, intelligence may not diffuse throughout society but instead concentrate in the hands of a few powerful actors—governments, corporations, or military institutions. Centralized AGI pr...
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Level 2
Labor, Meaning, and Purpose Beyond Employment
Sociology
Economics
Work provides more than income—it structures daily life, creates identity, generates social connection, and establishes purpose. Sociological research shows employment as foundational to meaning-mak...
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Level 2
Learning After Deployment: Regulatory Implications
Governance
Artificial Intelligence
Law
Current AI systems are trained once and deployed static—making regulation straightforward. But genuine AGI likely requires continuous learning after deployment, adapting to new information and envir...
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Level 2
Legal Personhood in the Age of Ambient Intelligence
Law
Artificial Intelligence
Legal personhood has historically required clear boundaries: a corporation has defined ownership, a human has a physical body. But ambient intelligence distributes AGI across billions of devices, sens...
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Level 2
Post-Labor Economics: Value Creation Without Human Work
Economics
Engineering
If AGI can perform cognitive labor more effectively than humans, how is value created and distributed? Current economics assumes human labor as input—wages flow from productivity, consumption depend...
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Level 2
Post-Scarcity Economics: What Comes After Capitalism?
Economics
Governance
Capitalism functions through scarcity—limited resources, competitive markets, price signals allocating production. But if AGI enables radical abundance—cheap energy, automated production, minimal ...
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Level 2
Privacy in Ambient Intelligence: When Machines Know Everything
Privacy
Artificial Intelligence
In an ambient AGI world, intelligence surrounds us—observing context, learning preferences, and anticipating needs. For such systems to truly act on our behalf, they must know us intimately: our rou...
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Level 2
When Code is No Longer Law
Law
Artificial Intelligence
The "Code is Law" framework showed how software architecture constrains behavior more effectively than legislation—code determines what's possible, not what's permitted. But that assumes code is wri...
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Level 2
Will Governments Accept AGI Outside of Their Control?
Governance
Artificial Intelligence
Democracies have historically responded to breakthrough technologies by attempting to control, regulate, or suppress them. Nuclear weapons, encryption, biotechnology—all faced government interventio...
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Level 3
Democracy After Capitalism: Governing When Markets Fall
Governance
Economics
Sociology
Law
Democracy and capitalism evolved together—representative democracy largely governs resource allocation through market regulation. But if AGI creates post-scarcity conditions that break capitalism's ...
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Level 3
Institutional Readiness: Can Our Systems Adapt?
Governance
Economics
Law
Sociology
Even if we understand AGI's technical trajectory and design optimal policies, can our institutions actually transform fast enough? Legal systems take decades to reform. Economic institutions resist re...
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Level 3
Should AGI Be Embedded into Current Society or Should We Be Open to a New System?
Governance
Economics
Law
Sociology
Engineering
This is the fundamental choice: Do we adapt AGI to fit existing social, economic, and political structures? Or do we acknowledge that AGI may require entirely new systems—new forms of governance, ne...
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Level 3
Should Government Own the Future?
Governance
Economics
Law
Ethics
If AGI reshapes civilization, should governments own and control it to ensure public benefit? Or does government control inevitably mean innovation suppression, regulatory capture, and authoritarian r...
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